Keith Devlin addresses more fundamental probability confusions. A detailed-enough article about pushing the Shannon limit of error free communications. These MAA columns are usually easy to understand and interesting.
Anyway, I'm no probability expert; my brain fogs over pretty quick. But the order-of-birth misled me, too. It isn't birth order as much as the fact that you've got consider each child as an individual, unique case, or event, or whatever you want to call it. I think Devlin just used birth order to try to make it easy to understand, except that it didn't, really.
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Really? You do have two daughters!?
Anyway, I'm no probability expert; my brain fogs over pretty quick. But the order-of-birth misled me, too. It isn't birth order as much as the fact that you've got consider each child as an individual, unique case, or event, or whatever you want to call it. I think Devlin just used birth order to try to make it easy to understand, except that it didn't, really.
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